
Two teams from two power conferences with national championship histories are still … underrated?
Florida was a powerhouse in the loaded SEC all year. It knocked out the two-time defending national champion UConn team in a second round war, won eight in a row and 15 of its last 16, and yet it still seems totally unappreciated.
There’s no Cooper Flagg, no Auburn No. 1 mystique, no Tom Izzo, no Alabama firepower, no superstar on a national scale, and yet it doesn’t matter because this team just knows how to play.
Maryland’s Derik Queen finally became known to those who didn’t pay attention to Big Ten hoops, hitting the winning shot to get by Colorado State 72-71. This is a nasty team that lost eight games, but all of them close.
The winner of this gets Arkansas or Texas Tech to go to the Final Four.
Date: Thursday, March 27
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Time: 7:39 pm ET
TV: TBS
Teams: (4) Maryland (27-8), (1) Florida (32-4)
Region: West
NCAA Tournament Schedule, Predictions, Previews
To have a shot against Florida you can’t turn the ball over and you can’t let defensive rebounds turn into scoring runs.
The Gators are brilliant at getting on the move and disrupting the flow of a game by going fast. They don’t force a ton of mistakes, but Norfolk State and UConn each turned it over 12 times - that was a problem.
The Terps are 14th in the nation in fewest turnovers, they’re good enough on the offensive boards to come up with a few extra second chance points, and while they don’t fly, they’ll get on the move and mix it up without being thrown off.
Again, Maryland didn’t lose their eight games by much - it led the Big Ten in scoring margin. It’ll keep. This close, but …
Queen might be an NBA force on the inside, but Maryland really gets going when it’s cranking up the threes.
It was on over the last two games, was great against Illinois in the Big Ten Tournament, and overall it hits 38% from beyond the arc.
Florida is seventh in the nation in three point defense allowing teams to hit just 29% of their tries. Maryland isn’t ultra-reliant on threes, but it’s 1-3 when it doesn’t get to 25% and …
The Terps won’t do quite enough from the outside to keep up, but it’ll push the Gators to the final 30 seconds.
Florida will sputter here and there, but just when you think it’s in trouble - bam. The big three, the big and-one, or the big thing that this team always seems to pull off will come at just the right moment.
Prediction: Florida 83, Maryland 75
Florida vs Maryland Betting Lines
BetMGM Line: Florida -6.5, o/u: 157.5
DraftKings Line: Florida -6.5, o/u: 157.5
FanDuel Line: Florida -6.5, o/u: 156.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
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