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Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Duke
Dec 8, 2024; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals forward Khani Rooths (9) dribbles against Duke Blue Devils forward Mason Gillis (18) during the second half at KFC Yum! Center. Duke defeated Louisville 76-65. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

Louisville (27-6, 18-2 ACC) is set to face Duke (30-3, 19-1 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 15 at 8:30 p.m. EST at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, N.C. in the ACC Tournament Championship. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Blue Devils:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

Team Leaders

*Cooper Flagg (ankle) is OUT for the matchup.
+Maliq Brown (shoulder) is QUESTIONABLE for the matchup.

Scoring

Rebounding

Defense

Ball Handling

Predictions

ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 13.8 percent chance to win against Duke. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 14.0 (28th overall), whereas the Blue Devils have a BPI rating of 24.8 (1st overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 17 percent chance to take down the Blue Devils, with a projected final score of 79-69 in favor of DU. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +22.69 (23rd overall), whereas Duke has an adjusted efficiency margin of +38.09 (1st overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 20 percent chance to take down the Devils, with a projected final score of 77-69 in favor of DU. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9286 (19th overall), whereas Duke has a "Barthag" of .9806 (2nd overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Duke 75, Louisville 72.

You can follow Louisville Cardinals On SI for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter/X and Instagram:

Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
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You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X and @mattmcgavic.bsky.social on Bluesky


This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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