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With 12 games on the schedule for Sunday featuring many of the NFL's best teams, fans will have hundreds of player props to choose from for their betting pleasure in Week 16.
Rather than take hours of your day to research and figure out which are the best, see if any of our top ten picks inspire you. (These will be in no specific order. Odds are from FanDuel unless otherwise indicated.)
Eagles vs. Commanders
--Jalen Hurts, O/U 191.5 Passing Yards at -113/-113
--Hurts to throw for 200+ yards at +108
Hurts is averaging right around 200 yards per game this season. While he had 290 his last time out against a good Steelers defense, he had less than 180 in his previous three. His numbers against the Steelers have to be taken with a grain of salt since Saquon Barkley missed time with an injury.
Washington controlled the game for three quarters a few weeks ago in Philly, only to lose after Barkley and the Eagles dominated the fourth quarter. I don't see the passing game working as well as it did last time, but I doubt it will struggle as it did vs. Carolina, Baltimore and the Rams.
The Washington pass defense has held teams to less than 190 yards per game this season, but 209 ypg over the last three. Hurts will probably have a day similar to the one he had in the previous game vs. Washington (18-28 for 221 yards).
Take the OVER on his passing yards.
Giants vs. Falcons
--Michael Penix Jr., O/U 228.5 Passing Yards at -115/-115 (via DraftKings)
The Falcons will want to see their young quarterback spread his wings, but they'll also want to protect him as much as they can. To that end, they'll lean hard on the run in this game to draw the Giants' defense in and then pass when his receivers are in single coverage.
They will not need to throw much against this Giants team and will probably let Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier carry most of the load.
Take the UNDER.
--Tyler Allgeier, O/U 36.5 Rushing Yards at -110/-110 (via bet365)
--Allgeier to rush for 50+ yards +165 (via BetMGM)
The Falcons may let Penix air it out in the first quarter but will otherwise have him throw just enough to keep the Giants' defense honest. Robinson, of course, will carry the bulk of the load. But Allgeier will see the ball more than he usually does.
He had fewer than 10 carries in 10 of 14 games; look for him to get closer to 15 Sunday. With the Giants' defense allowing 4.9 yards per carry, Allgeier should easily go over this total.
Take the OVER.
Lions vs. Bears
--Sam LaPorta, O/U 41.5 Receiving Yards at -115/-115 (via BetMGM)
Losing David Montgomery for the immediate future stings, but the Lions do still have Jahmyr Gibbs. But they'll likely try to find other ways to move the ball to keep from overworking Gibbs. LaPorta has had a quiet season but has seen his target share go up in the last two weeks.
Big, pass-catching tight ends like LaPorta are great for moving the chains, and the Lions will probably use LaPorta more in that capacity going forward.
Take the OVER.
Browns vs. Bengals
--Chase Brown, O/U 74.5 Rushing Yards at -110/-110 (via bet365)
--Brown, O/U 17.5 Rushing Attempts at -130/+100 (via DraftKings)
Cincinnati has been all over the place with Brown's touches this season. He had 25 last week vs. Tennessee but 12 to 14 in three of the previous four games. But teams have averaged 32 rushing attempts and 119.3 yards against the Browns in the last three weeks.
With the Browns starting Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback, the Bengals will probably want to run a little more often to keep the clock moving. It will be the Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase show in the first half, but Brown will take over in the second.
Take the OVER for both.
--Jerry Jeudy, O/U 62.5 Receiving Yards at -110/-110 (via bet365)
--Jeudy, O/U 5.5 Receptions at +125/-165
Jeudy has gone over this yardage total in his last seven games, but bettors may want to mute expectations with Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. While DTR is a tremendous athlete, he struggles to connect with his receivers. He has completed just 44.1 percent of his passes this season (15-for-34) and 51.4 percent in his career (75-for-146).
As for his receptions total, Jeudy is one of Cleveland's better playmakers. They'll eventually settle for short throws to the flats that DTR can complete just to get the ball in Jeudy's hands. Since those throws will be relatively easy to complete, Jeudy will see the ball enough to go over this total.
Take the UNDER for his yardage but the OVER for his receptions.
More must-reads:
- Report reveals what dissuaded Giants from pursuing Aaron Rodgers
- Five teams that must nail the 2025 NFL Draft
- The 'AP NFL Comeback Players of the Year' quiz
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Report reveals what dissuaded Giants from pursuing Aaron Rodgers
The Giants seriously considered pursuing Aaron Rodgers, but concerns about his age and durability were too significant for team president John Mara to move forward with a potential signing, according to Ryan Dunleavy of the New York Post. General manager Joe Schoen and head coach Brian Daboll preferred Rodgers to the other quarterbacks available in free agency, but Mara needed to be convinced. Rodgers has a reputation as an intense personality in the locker room with no shortage of off-field controversies The Giants reached out to three members of the last Jets regime – head coach Robert Saleh, general manager Joe Douglas and defensive backs coach Marquand Manuel – who said that Rodgers was “no problem in the locker room,” per Dunleavy. (Manuel was hired in January as the Giants’ new defensive pass game coordinator.) There was no way around the mercurial quarterback’s attention-grabbing words and antics, but the team was willing to overlook that, especially for how cheap Rodgers would be. What the Giants could not get past, according to Dunleavy, was the potential for Rodgers to miss time this season due to injury. Mara has repeatedly expressed his lack of patience with the team’s subpar results in the last two years, and Rodgers showed signs of limited mobility in 2024 after tearing his Achilles a year prior. He’s also openly debated retirement in each of the last few offseasons, including this one, making it clear that he’s not a long-term answer at quarterback. Instead, the Giants went with younger players in Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston on incentive-laden one-year deals to see if one can emerge as a plus starter in 2025. They’ve also done their homework on the current draft class and could add a new quarterback next week.
Rob Gronkowski Names Bill Belichick as the Reason Why He Still Parties During the Day
Rob Gronkowski is a well-known party animal. From throwing wild bashes to hosting his annual Gronk Beach music festival ahead of the Super Bowl, the guy knows how to have a good time. Back in his playing days, Gronk was famous for going all out and letting it loose — but it turns out a little advice from Bill Belichick changed the way he partied. It even helped him stay out of trouble. Nowadays, Gronkowski only throws down and gets wild during the day. Not because he’s getting older or out of personal preference. Gronk hosts his parties during the day because Belichick once gave him a very useful piece of advice: nothing good happens after 12 o’clock at night. When the former tight end was younger, like 21, Gronk didn’t quite care about this advice — and honestly, who would expect him to? He’s often described as the “party king” by his friends and former teammates, and it’s something he’s always been pretty open about. Gronk once said that partying actually made him play better, and hey — considering his resume, maybe he was onto something. Despite the late nights, Gronkowski won four Super Bowls and made four All-Pro first teams as a tight end. But after hanging it up, he finally understood why Belichick sounded like a dad handing out life advice. “I didn’t truly understand it when I was 21, 22, 23 years old. [But] it always stuck in the back of my head,” Gronkowski told his former teammate Julian Edelman (via Dudes on Dudes). “He always exemplified and made a point that nothing good happens past 12 o’clock at night. He always reiterated it. And now, thinking about it to this day, I use that line all the time. Like, why would I go out at night time? Nothing good happens past 1 am. Let’s party during the day. It was a great point.” Edelman laughed at Gronkowski’s piece of advice but also agreed. He even joked that Belichick should use the clip of what Gronk said as a piece of advice for his new UNC football team. Of course, as Gronkowski said, the saying isn’t going to resonate as much with athletes in their 20s. But as you get older, you begin to understand what folks mean by it. It’s not meant to be taken literally, but more as a general principle to encourage responsible decision-making and safe behavior late at night. However, Gronkowski does take the saying literally. As he’s transitioned to a role as an analyst, he’s become somewhat more chilled out. The constant partying has faded from his life. So, don’t expect to see Gronkowski at any nightclubs or raves anytime soon!
Nikola Jokic Doesn’t Hold Back When Asked About Michael Porter Jr.’s Effort
Nikola Jokic isn’t one to mince words and after the Denver Nuggets' narrow 112-110 overtime win over the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 1, he made his feelings clear about Michael Porter Jr.’s lackluster performance. When asked what he could do to help Porter stay engaged, Jokic delivered a brutal but honest assessment: “If you’re not going to be engaged right now, then you’re not supposed to be playing this sport.” That comment hit hard—and for good reason. With the playoffs underway and Denver entering the postseason as defending champions amid off-court turmoil, effort is non-negotiable. Porter’s Game 1 showing raised red flags. The 6-foot-10 forward played just 26 minutes, the fewest among starters, finishing with only three points, four rebounds, and one made shot on four attempts. He was the only Nuggets starter with a negative plus-minus. While Jokic put up a near triple-double with 29 points, 12 assists, and nine rebounds, and Russell Westbrook delivered a gritty two-way performance that helped spark a second-half comeback, Porter looked disengaged on both ends. His defensive lapses were glaring, as the Clippers hunted him on switches, finding success with Kawhi Leonard, James Harden, and even Nic Batum attacking him in isolation. Interim head coach David Adelman clearly took notice. Porter was benched for key stretches, including overtime, in favor of Westbrook, whose energy and defensive commitment proved invaluable. When asked postgame about his rotation choices, Adelman didn’t hold back either, emphasizing that the guys that are playing the best at that time are going to finish. Jokic’s pointed remark wasn't just frustration, it was leadership. The three-time MVP understands the stakes and the urgency required in the playoffs. The Nuggets barely escaped Game 1 with a win despite trailing by as much as 15 and turning the ball over 20 times. Every possession counts. Every player must bring it. Porter’s situation is complicated. He’s one of the most talented offensive weapons on the roster, but his inconsistency and effort have always been concerns. He’s also one of the Nuggets’ highest-paid players, making over $35 million this season. But salary doesn’t guarantee playoff minutes, especially not under Adelman, who’s made it clear that performance will dictate playing time. Fans were quick to react to Jokic’s candid postgame quote, with many applauding his growth as a vocal leader. Some speculated that Porter could be on the trading block if he doesn’t turn things around. Others simply echoed the MVP’s sentiment: this is the playoffs, no time for passivity. Game 2 offers Porter a chance to respond. If he brings energy on defense, stays active off-ball, and knocks down open looks, he’ll be back in the closing lineup. But if the effort remains questionable, the Nuggets won’t hesitate to lean on Westbrook, Braun, or anyone else ready to step up. Jokic isn’t asking Porter to be perfect. He’s asking him to care. And if that doesn’t happen now, it might never happen at all.
Steve Sarkisian: Arch Manning is like grandfather Archie, not uncles Peyton or Eli
When the average football fan in 2025 thinks about the Mannings, a new member of the family may come to mind: Texas Longhorns starting quarterback Arch Manning. Arch will be quickly followed by his famous uncles, Pro Football Hall of Famer Peyton Manning and Eli Manning, of course, but the younger quarterback of the Manning Football Family is at the forefront of football fans' minds. He's taking over a Texas team that went 13-3 last season and made a run to the College Football Playoff semifinal before losing to the eventual national champion, Ohio State. Sure, the Longhorns are losing some key players to the NFL, including quarterback Quinn Ewers and wideout Matthew Golden, but Texas feels it's reloading, not retooling, because Manning is taking over the helm. He's the former No. 1 overall recruit in the 2023 class, and glimpses of him as a backup to Ewers over the past two seasons would suggest he has superstar capability. Not only that, but he looks the part, per Longhorns head coach Steve Sarkisian. "I think there's something that's unique about Arch. You can watch him throw, and you see when you get up on him in person, man, he's a bigger guy than maybe people think. When you watch him throw, the arm talent and the deep ball is there," Sarkisian recently told Pete Thamel of ESPN. What Arch has that perhaps his uncles didn't is surprising athleticism for his size, though, per Sarkisian. "Then you watch him move and you're like, wait, this guy's a better athlete than I thought. Definitely got grandpa's gene. It's not the uncles, he got grandpa's gene," Sarkisian said. Arch's grandfather is the patriarch of the Manning family and the younger quarterback's namesake: Archie Manning. The eldest Manning quarterback didn't have the NFL career of his sons, with four Super Bowl wins between Peyton and Eli, but he was an extremely decorated college quarterback at Ole Miss. He was the 1969 SEC Player of the Year, and he also won the Walter Camp Memorial Trophy, which goes to the most outstanding player in college football. He threw for 4,753 yards and 31 touchdowns at Ole Miss over three seasons (though he also threw 40 interceptions), and he also rushed for 823 yards and 25 touchdowns on the ground. That ability on the ground is what Arch Manning also has. He rushed for four touchdowns last season as a backup and provided the Longhorns with almost a "wildcat" look at times in big moments. He won't be the "wildcat" this season, but he will get ample chance to show of the genes that his grandpa passed on to him.
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