The Mariners’ postseason hopes are hanging by a thread. At 77-73, they sit 2.5 games back of a wild-card berth and 4.5 games behind Houston in the AL West.
With just 12 games remaining, it’s crunch time. Three of those games are against Houston — a pivotal matchup for tiebreaker purposes — and six will be played at home, where Seattle boasts a 45-30 record as of Monday.
Highs and lows have defined Seattle’s wild season. The team blew a 10-game division lead earlier this year and fired longtime manager Scott Servais.
But despite those setbacks, there’s still hope. The Mariners replaced Scott Servais with Dan Wilson as manager, bringing in club legend Edgar Martinez as hitting coach to revive one of the league’s worst offenses.
Since the change, the numbers are trending upward.
In the last 28 days, the Mariners are slashing .247/.343/.399. When Martinez took over, the team was batting .216 (now .222), slugging .365 (now .372), and had an OPS of .666 (now .681).
Martinez’s task was to bring consistency to this lineup, and the early results are promising.
Julio Rodriguez, the team’s star outfielder, has led the resurgence. After struggling for much of the season, Rodriguez has caught fire, slashing .269/.310/.538 with a .849 OPS over the past seven days. His return to form is critical for Seattle’s postseason hopes.
Julio Rodríguez just unleashed an EPIC bat flip on his 446-foot tank
— MLB (@MLB) September 15, 2024
(MLB x @SportClips) pic.twitter.com/hPfbfAA18a
Of course, offense isn’t the only factor. The Mariners boast arguably the best pitching staff in baseball, leading MLB in team ERA (3.50), WHIP (1.08), and batting average allowed (.220).
This balance of elite pitching and an improving offense gives them a shot at making up ground in the standings.
But the road ahead is tough. Seattle faces the first-place Yankees next before heading on the road to face rivals Texas and Houston. The Mariners close the season at home against the Athletics.
They will need to win nine of their final 12 games to reach 86 wins, which could be enough to secure a wild-card berth if other teams falter.
That might be more possible than it seems. Houston has a tough slate remaining with series against Cleveland and San Diego, both likely playoff-bound teams. Minnesota’s road isn’t any easier, facing tough matchups against Cleveland, Baltimore and Boston.
If those teams stumble, Seattle has a real shot.
This isn’t uncharted territory for the Mariners. Seattle has beaten the odds before — most memorably in 1995 when it improbably erased a 13-game deficit to earn its first-ever postseason berth.
That year, the Mariners won a one-game tiebreaker against the Angels, then defeated the Yankees in the ALDS before falling to Cleveland in the ALCS.
That was the season that saved baseball in Seattle.
The 1995 @Mariners saved baseball in Seattle.
— MLB Network (@MLBNetwork) November 22, 2021
Look back at the squad’s magical run in #95Mariners at 11:30pm ET/8:30pm PT. pic.twitter.com/bSwSFD08Ra
This year’s Mariners have the talent to pull off a similar comeback, especially if they can win the season series tiebreaker against Houston. One win in their final series against the Astros would give Seattle the tiebreaker edge, potentially deciding the AL West if both teams finish tied.
For now, the Mariners have no room for error. Wilson, who admitted the team’s superstition has it sticking with its City Connect uniforms, understands the stakes.
This isn’t the season Seattle envisioned when they held a 10-game division lead back in June, but the postseason remains within reach.
The task is simple: win at home, beat Houston and give itself a shot.
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